fundamentals vs wild guess

Posters here seem to be split into two camps-

1) Those who have carefully analysed AGM, its progress and potential profitability, management and future groowth potential. These posters include Chinkiat, Dwecke, Scholmo, Capman, Ghosta, to name some of the more prominent.
Universal aggrement is that in 3-6 months time the SP will be way up.

2)Those who have tried to understand some of the undamentals, but its all too hard. Instead they try to guess where the SP is going. When they pick a winner, they sell too soon, or a loser they buy so many they cannot set a "stop" . If the SP drops temporarily due to some short term effect they panic and dump, often at a loss and usually just before the share turns around. They tend to be in and out of shares often, and at very best break even.

These people have bought AGM shares before and dumped in panic. They know deep down AGM is a good share to hold longer term, but just cannot hold if their is a temporary downturn. And they see every correction turning into a massive downturn because last time they panicked it started out exactly the same way.

Melua, Tonypell, Nova star, Componed and MOOkie are amongst those in this category.

Which camp will end up winners?

There is a "Camp" not represented on Hottcopper AGM Forums, the Chartists. A pity because they have a third perspective. These Chartist are universally accumulating at the moment.