NVA 3.57% 13.5¢ nova minerals limited

Oppies equal opportunity, page-28

  1. 162 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 38
    Well, consider it this way...

    Firstly assumptions:
    Lets say you currently have 100,000 options that you bought for 0.006 (i don't care how many you actually have - it doesn't matter). Also, you have the cash to convert these options $3250.

    You can do a few things: Convert the options, buy the heads, buy more options or do nothing. We'll ignore the last option for this exercise.

    If you convert the options:
    You now have 100,000 heads which you have effectively paid 0.0325 + 0.006 = 0.0385
    You also have 0 options

    If you buy the heads:
    You now have ~100,000 heads bought at 0.032 (cheaper than converting the options)
    Also, you still have your 100,000 options

    If you buy more options:
    You now have 180,000 extra options @0.018 with an average somewhere between 0.006 and 0.018 (280,000 total options)

    Now, lets assume the SP gets to $0.10 (opt ~$0.067)
    Total $ outlay in both situations is the same
    Case 1: 100,000 x 0.1 = $10,000
    Case 2: 100,000 x 0.067 + 100,000 x 0.1 = $16,700
    Case 2: 280,000 x 0.067 = $18,760

    Or, if it gets to $0.30 (opt ~$0.267)
    Case 1: 100,000 x 0.3 = $30,000
    Case 2: 100,000 x 0.267 + 100,000 x 0.3 = $56,700
    Case 2: 280,000 x 0.267 = $74,760


    Conversely, if the price goes down - lets say $0.01 - options will be basically worthless here - depending on time left you may be able to sell them for 0.001 or 0.002. We'll assume you can't sell them for a worst case scenario
    Case 1: 100,000 x 0.1 = $10,000
    Case 2: 100,000 x 0 + 100,000 x 0.1 = $10,000
    Case 2: 280,000 x 0 = $0


    So, the difference is you get more leverage from the options. Obviously, the risk with options is that they expire and they are worthless if there aren't 'in the money'. The point here is that the expiry is a long way off so you need to decide whether you think the SP will appreciate enough in that timeframe.

    Anyway I am not a financial advisor so don't take my word for it - DYOR.

    In summary:
    Convert options: Limit downside risk, Standard upside benefit
    Buy heads: Limit downside risk, Big upside benefit
    Buy options: Huge downside risk, Huge upside benefit

    Only you can decide what your risk profile is going to be!
 
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