My earlier estimate of MCAP based on my estimate of resource size: https://hotcopper.com.au/threads/ann-exploration-update.3820641/page-122?post_id=29466140
DYOR. Not advice. This estimate is based on some general assumptions about resource size and assumes comparable quality and production economics to the PLS project.
PLS is currently $1.44B MCAP and a resource of 69.8MT. In construction phase.
$1.44B / 69.8 = $20M per MT
QUR guesstimate at 41.2MT
Conservative ( after PFS, JORC and with offtake ):
$10M per MT = 41.2 MT x $10M = $412M MCAP
Optimistic ( in construction, same stage as PLS ):
$20M per Mt = 41.2 MT x $20M = $824M MCAP
Current fully diluted share issue from 3B:
Approx 930M securities
Apply worst case 20% dilution pa for 3 yrs = Approx 1.6B securities.
Assumed MCAP $824M / 1.6B securities = $0.515 per share at construction/commissioning stage ( 3 years time ).
That’s just for Thompson Bros and doesn’t take into account the highly prospective Alaska tenements.
I’m patient
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