BHP 2.16% $42.06 bhp group limited

long rio short bhp

  1. 662 Posts.
    Why isnt anyone discussing long RIO, short BHP as a high value play?

    Given that BHP has already failed in its initial 3:1 attempted t/o bid, it is highly likely they will up the ante to 3:1 + cash or even 3.5 or 4:1. BHP isnt going to give up this play easily without a fight so there is a real floor

    At Fri close prices, the current ratio is only 130.9/42.47 = 3.08 (2% premium) which infers significant upside in the event of a substantially revised BHP bid.

    Consider also that on London's closing prices, the ratio is 5624/1628 = 3.45 which is obviously already pricing in a future bid.

    Surprised that this play is so underpriced in our market, think its seriously worth a look.

    FWIW, ive got it on 500k size.

    Happy Hunting.
 
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