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13,194 Posts.
2697
02/12/07
00:07
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Mrs_Peel
A lot more than 7.7c that's for sure.
Cenennial Coal which is a producer has an estimated 1.1Bt coal reserves and a market cap of $1.442b.
Let's just assume the following:
- DD is sweet and CDS exercises its right to acquire a 70% share in the 3 Waterberg coal prospects.
- Fully diluted shares for CDS is 640m
- As an explorer CDS will be valued at 1/2 the potential MC of a producer.
- The 415Mt is not upgraded (70% of 415Mt = 290.5Mt)
- The coal grading of both CDS and Centennial is identical
Now the value of Centennial's MC per ton of coal is:
$1,442,000,000/1,100,000,000 = $1.31
CDS fully diluted MC would then be:
(290,500,000 x $1.31)/2 = $190,277,500 or a sp of 30 cents.
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