"do you think usd will retrace? "
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My read is that it should not have been sold down with the potential carry trade advantage since markets have a habit of being forward looking in anticipations. I have no formal economic training in ANY capacity so fundamentals is what I struggle to understand but I see the results. Recently with the panic sell off you see the flight to safety to USD rather than gold.
In the GFC rout reactionary outcome, flight to safety = USD buying and gold fell. I don;t remember 2015 market rout and I have to go back any analyse the price action but as you can see gold did not sell off initially this week ie. glass half full = valuation held, then eventually got sucked into the continue volatility vortex. Not very defensive asset class is it?
I read somewhere this derivative sector is $1.5T betting against volatility and getting comfortable until last Friday. Is this the mini-CDO moment or just collateral damage created by the Banks to "help" punters make $?
I am chart driven so at this point I can only look back at 2015 and expect this is just the start. There will be many volatile sessions in the coming months until the froth of a 2 year run gets wiped out before it can continue up.
Those with a better grasp of gold can probably answer your query in gold bias better but I see gold going down as well if the stocks markets continue to sell off.