1MC 20.0% 0.3¢ morella corporation limited

Ann: Response to Speculation, page-438

  1. 273 Posts.
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    I am going to try my fast track valuation. Any correction welcome.

    All appox numbers
    80mt Ore Reserve
    7:1 to spodumene
    11 MT Spodumene
    Current price between 800 and 900 USD
    Minus 300 odd cost = 500 USD margin per tonne
    meanes life of mine margin USD 5.5B
    NPV wit 10% and 25 years LOM USD 1,915B
    That is roughly USD 1 per share.

    What can change that number:
    1. Significant resource upgrade in DFS stage 2
    2. Expected higher spodumene prices by the buyer
    3. Significant acceleration in production (NPV gets discounted less)

    My take: USD 1 would be nice but I doubt it. I guess we end up around USD 0,80.

    Disclaimer: I an new to AJM. I bought into Lithium (because I firmly believe in the story) over the past 2 weeks and am long PLS, AJM and SYA
    Last edited by seberhardt: 18/03/18
 
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