Considering what I feel are the 3 main cycles, 4yr presidential, 10 yr or decennial, and Armstrong, it comes to this:-
Right into year end is a top per the 4 yr.
Then the cycles say Feb or March as a low and even May.
From that point they suggest 6 momths of upside as a minimum.
There certainly are longer term cycles that could provide a severe down move here but they should fit the Feb/Mar or May idea still.
Oct 2008 is a possibility for a major low as a worst case.
My take is to play the swings until March and then expect a solid move.
There seems little doubt that the upside will no longer be free and easy.
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