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13/04/18
20:06
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Originally posted by CaptainGrumpy
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Yes absolutely, otherwise they wouldn’t be buying. To be clear I think the Matilda project is economic (borderline) which makes up about 25% of the resource. I think the Wiluna ore which make up 75% of the resource and much of the expansion program is not economic so I attribute zero valuation to that. When you apply a discount cash flow model to come up with a Net present value for The matilda project, my calulations value the company a lot lower than today. If gold price can break out meaningfully on a long term timeframe (which it is trying to do), I will likely just buy even though it exceeds my valuation, because of the enormous leverage. Otherwise I will wait for it to come back to my valuation and reassess if it’s a buy at the time.
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There we have it - the motive. Do you mind me asking what your 'buy price' is? I reckon it's already a steal and grossly undervalued at this price levels. But what do I know.
Everyone should do their own valuation model and come up with their NPV valuation. Basic stuff really.