interest rates , page-2

Many busy people which I totally understand.

It will be interesting as to who gets it right.
My view has not changed.

Nobody interested?

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601081&refer=Australia&sid=a2UMC5nNw4Ss





Following is a table of forecasts for the chance of an interest-rate increase in February, and the rate by the end of each quarter this year:



Chance of Feb. Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Feb. Move 5
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Median 60% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
High Forecast 75% 7% 7% 7.25% 7.25% 7.25%
Low Forecast 25% 6.75% 6.75% 6.75% 6.75% 6.75%
No. of replies 26 26 26 26 26 26
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4Cast 65% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
ABN Amro 70% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
AMP Capital 45% 6.75% 6.75% 6.75% 6.75% 6.75%
Ausbil Dexia 66% 7% 7% 7% 6.75% 6.75%
ANZ Bank 60% 7% 7% 7.25% 7.25% 7.25%
Barclays Capital 60% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
BT Financial 49.5% 6.75% 6.75% 6.75% 6.75% 6.75%
Citigroup 60% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
Commonwealth Bank 55% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
Deutsche Bank 70% 7% 7% 7% 7.25% 7.25%
Goldman Sachs 40% 6.75% 6.75% 6.75% 6.75% 6.75%
HSBC 65% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
ICAP Australia 40% 6.75% 6.75% 6.75% 6.75% 6.75%
JPMorgan Chase 65% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
Lehman Brothers 70% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
Macquarie 55% 7% 7% 7.25% 7.25% 7.25%
Merrill Lynch 60% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
National Australia 40% 6.75% 7% 7% 7% 7%
Nomura Australia 55% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
RBC Capital Markets 55% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
St. George Bank 60% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
Suncorp Banking 25% 6.75% 6.75% 7% 7.25% 7.25%
TD Securities 60% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
Thomson IFR 75% 7% 7% 7.25% 7.25% 7.25%
UBS Australia 40% 6.75% 6.75% 6.75% 6.75% 6.75%
Westpac Bank 60% 7% 7% 7.25% 7.25% 7.25%
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To contact the reporter for this story: Jacob Greber in Sydney at