Like GXL for the underlying theme of increasing humanisation & integration of services with product.
Valuations are currently :
Column 1
Column 2
Column 3
Column 4
0
10-May
gxl
4.35
macq
1
10-May
gxl
4.40
ubs
2
10-May
gxl
4.70
citi
3
10-May
gxl
4.68
canaccord
4
10-May
gxl
6.00
morningstar
Positive elements :
Good prospects for price recovery
Potential takeout at high $4
Negative elements :
No property play (for hedge funds)
Shorters (No AustSuper here !!!)
Current holders have little intrinsic attraction to the industry
Estimates underlying final np at $35m for fy18
Pe of 13
Expected divs forgone in 18 for debt paydown
Would prefer to see :
1) Share offer of 1:2 at $2.50 raising $125m+ to paydown debt + working capital
2) On-market buyback announcement (not necessarily acted upon) to keep shorters honest
3) Writeoff goodwill completely
GXL Price at posting:
$3.89 Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held