HIG 0.00% 10.5¢ highlands pacific limited

Nickel starting to rise again today, page-4

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    So here goes a quick calculation of incremental income for HIG.
    RAMU produces 34,000 tonnes of Nickel pa.
    HIG is entitled to 11.3% of this, being 3842 tonnes pa
    HIG will stream 23.9% of this to Cobalt27 (post completion of transaction and $15M buy-back of part of stream), retaining 76.1% or 2924 tonnes pa, which is 6.55M lbs pa.
    [now the concentrate that RAMU sells won't get the full Nickel price, but I don't know whether this factor is 90% or 95% or 85% or 98% , so I will omit at present; though can add in if anyone can provide the appropriate factor.]
    So an extra USD$1 in Nickel price is worth extra USD$6.55M pa to HIG.
    This is about AUD$8.5M pa to top line, most of which goes entirely to bottom line as HIG has carried forward losses.
    I will suggest a NPV-factor of 14 to bring this ongoing income stream to Net Present Value.

    Outcome: An extra USD$1 per lb to NI price adds about AUD$120M to NPV of Highlands!! (cf current market cap of $140M)

    Now I would advise reducing this a bit for a range of uncertainties, but you can see why I am more positive about HIG now (and consider it more undervalued) than when it was a ridiculous 6c a year ago.
 
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