I'm going to take a punt here and say that NTA will be down to between 90 and 95 cents.
This assumes the CREs have lost a touch over 10% of their face value and property around 7%. Very rough estimates of the impact of falls, so if I'm off no complaints please.
The thing about the CRE's is at this stage it is only a face value loss - not cash - so if held to maturity and no defaults with lost money then they will write it all back sometime. Last I read from REU all the CRE's were in order.
IMO comment on the position of CRE will be as significant as movement in property / face values.
MJS
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