probability, page-5

  1. 3,694 Posts.
    Swap the box. Your initial odds were 33% or in other words you had 2 chances in 3 of being wrong. So swap the box.

    Look at it this way. Say there were a 100 boxes. You choose one and then 98 are removed. Now one of the 2 left have the $100. What are the chances you picked correctly the first time.
 
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