A2M 0.33% $6.12 the a2 milk company limited

Bloomberg TV, page-55

  1. 9,258 Posts.
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    Positives:
    - some positive press of late (no impact from CBEC)
    - 2 brokers upgraded their ratings
    - we are getting closer to AGM
    - Healthy inventory levels at Jun18 and shelves still clearing fast (demand must be through the roof)

    Negatives:
    - Lots of directors selling shares including CEO cleaning her slate
    - 20% drop in SP since CEO sold her shares
    - 1 broker downgraded their rating
    - A2M is afraid to update the market with Q1 sales and FY19 outlook
    - Shorters are growing to 3.9% of issued capital (enticing investors with intraday increases followed by strong selling)
    - No Fonterra update

    Make your own mind up, but at $9.61 this is heavily undervalued IMO. It could easily hit $16 at year end if management achieve a 40% increase in sales.
    My price targets are below based on various NPAT projections:
    $200m - $8
    $220m - $10
    $240m - $12
    $260m - $14
    Last edited by prosperity: 08/10/18
 
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