PGH 1.27% 77.5¢ pact group holdings ltd

Ann: Annual Report to shareholders, page-2

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    I am struggling with the table function... But hopefully this comes through okay...


    Rough numbers and very high level, however based on the forecast information provided in the reports of; EBITDA, D&A, Finance Costs and Tax rate, and then assuming $15M for significant items (less than FY18 assuming no acquisitions in FY19) I have calculated that NPAT and EPS range based on the forecasts provided is;

    NPAT: $88-101.5M

    EPS: 26.5-30.5c


    IMO this would allow Pact to easily maintain the dividend of 23c... This implies;

    Future P/E: 11.1 - 12.8

    Forecast Div Yield: 6.8% 


    On these numbers it does look appealing, especially given the growth they have achieved (even if this has been achieved by acquisition), though I do wish had more interest cover and lower debt in general.



    FY18 ActualFY19 Forecast
    1Revenue$1,674MHigher, no estimate
    2EBITDA$237M$270-285M
    3D&A$72M$84-86M
    4EBIT$165M$184M
    5


    6Finance Costs$32.1M$38-40M
    7Significant Items$23.3No estimate, assume $15M (no acquisition)
    8Tax Rate29.5%29-29.5%
    9NPAT (before significant items)$95M$103 - $116.5M
    10NPAT$74.5M$88 - $101.5M
    11Shares318.6M332.5M
    12EPS23.4c26.5c - 30.5c
    13DPS23.0c???
 
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