Elphus,
Bleasby made a good post on the other property thread.
I also posted the following hand waving reasons for a possible drop:
- Prices are at record highs (and affordibility at record lows)
- Slower economy and increased credit costs due to credit crisis
- More stringent lending standards from banks
- Low rental yield (even with record high rent)
- Current pessimism in the media regarding house prices (report from IMF that 25% overvalued etc)
- The "house prices never drop" myth has been busted by US/UK/NZ/Ireland etc all seeing large drops.
I couldn't give you an exact figure by which I expect prices to fall. It just seems silly to think that it is not possible, with all of the current turmoil.
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