I think the underlying truth to it is that although they remain hopeful and somewhat confident, having released every bit of technical data available, they don't have anymore information than what's available to the market and therefore don't know anymore than we do. They just simply don't know.
If they fancied the odds at 50/50 then they've simply taken the safe road, those who gamble with their own finances will quite often have the same approach when responsible for others, so there is a level of comfort for me in this theory..
I would suggest that these directors took the " 1 bird in the hand" approach rather than "cash in now before we sink"
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