Originally posted by El Jefe
What’s your spreadsheet showing if we ship another 10kt in December?
Costs over the Q per TAW cashflow are predicted at ~ $31m.
View attachment 1369655
Think we can get a rough idea the difference between a shipment in Dec and not. (of course not really the correct way of calculation)
We estimate the cost for the quarter (Oct- Dec) to be A$31.3m.
2 lithium shipment in Oct and Nov ~ 22100T, Revenue = US$880 x 22100 = US$19.45m or A$26.84m
Tantalum sales announced is 41000 lbs. Assuming sale price of US$80 per lb, we get US$80 x 41000 = US$3.28m or A$4.53m
Total projected revenue in Oct-Dec quarter is A$26.84 + A$4.53m = A$31.4m
We would barely breakeven. So if there is no more shipment for the rest of the quarter, our result will be really UNIMPRESSIVE.
However, if there is another shipment in Dec, say 13000T, that would be a profit of about 13000 x US$880 x 1.38 = A$15.78m. The difference is huge.
With a quarterly net profit of A$15.78m, the big boys will notice. so lets hope for another shipment in Dec.
