Plunging Car Sales, page-208

Hey Baba.

While trying to predict the changeover isn't easy, there are plenty of analysts working on that issue. They have the benefit of market data that probably puts them in a more informed position than most.
As a renewable tech follower I reckon am better informed than the average person so while I'm not prepared to put a specific date on it, I have predicted that my next 4wd ute will be an ev in about 5 years time.

Anyway, here's a video about a guy named Tony Seba. He has a consultancy that is studying this very subject. The video goes for an hour but I think he gets to the bit about cars quite early. He rolls historical data into his presentation . It is quite thought provoking if you have the time to watch it.