AKE 0.00% $9.83 allkem limited

Ann: Orocobre Limited - Naraha Lithium Hydroxide Plant Approved, page-18

  1. 90 Posts.
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    Here are some of my assumptions. You'll see they are very conservative

    Stage 1
    Lithium Carbonate price t tonne (USD) - 9000
    1production (tonnes) - 12470
    2exchange rate - 71
    3cost of production (USD) - 3974
    4Fair value Stage 1 only - $2.90 AUD

    Stage 2 (similar assumptions to above, though a better cost of production and closer to nameplate.
    Discount rate of 12% and assuming it will be done in 3 years. Adds $2.75 to current share price.

    Hydroxide plant. ads 4c.

    Advantage Lithium - Adds 10c.

    Total = $5.79. So I think this is what ORE is worth today. So 67% more than today. Bargain at these prices.

    In 3 years time I expect fair value, on PE of 12, to be $7.55. Double your money easy....

 
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