Excellent report. Always good to know where you stand.
Some facts:
50K tons shipped at $ 466 per ton is $23,300,000 in Revenue. Cash at $43 Million is spot on forecast. Operating cost from prior report was $ 14.7 Million. Net of revenue is 10.6 available for capital investment versus 19M capital forecast to be expended. $9M shortfall in cash needed. Burn rate includes $5M carry over into the quarter. Adjust this out is $4M short fall with an adjustment upward for increased production ( 5 million more tones at $450 per ton is $2.25 Million). That is a a $6 to 7 million dollar shortfall. In addition is relatively small carrying cost of BAM of $2M (?). Call it a $9M shortfall. That gives Syrah about 4 quarters of running room to get cash flow positive. Keep focus on reducing cost per ton and some increase into better pricing.
Now Blundering into success:
There is a principal in competition that the winning strategy (called Boston Consulting Group Strategy) of low cost production to drive competition out of the market. What will be interesting will be the impact of low price on China restarting non productive plants. Syrah might just blunder into success by driving down cost per ton by increasing production until shortages provide opportunistic pricing.
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