AVZ 0.00% 78.0¢ avz minerals limited

Running discussion on SP, page-21226

  1. 1,259 Posts.
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    Evening all,

    What a difference a day can make. Revised comparison between LTR and AVZ as per the below.

    Market Capitalisation
    LTR - A$208m (at 13.5c)
    AVZ - A$108m (at 4.7c)

    Est. cash position as at 30/6/19
    LTR - ~A$3.5m (CR required this quarter IMHO)
    AVZ - ~A$8m (CR not required this quarter and project funding imminent IMO)

    Enterprise Value (EV) based on the above est. cash positions.
    LTR - A$204m
    AVZ - A$100m
    (LTR now more than double the EV of AVZ )

    Resources
    LTR - 75mt @1.30% (62mt Measured and Indicated)
    AVZ - 400mt @1.66% (269mt Measured & Indicated)

    EV per contained Li resource ounce
    LTR - A$2.72 (US $1.90)
    AVZ (65% share) - 38c (US $0.27c)

    Strip ratio
    LTR - 8.24:1
    AVZ - 0.7:1

    Like a rubber band being stretched to the hilt from opposite sides, there grows an extreme disparity between valuations. There are two theories to this;

    1. If LTR represents fair vaIue then AVZ should more than double when the market wakes up.
    2. If LTR is overvalued then it will need to lose more than 50% of it's valuation just to match AVZ who has greater than 5 times the Li resource.

    Either way, I know where I'd prefer to park my money right now and for the next 36 months at least.

    GLTA

    Cheers
    Elpha
 
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