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29/07/19
11:03
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Originally posted by eclipse:
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I don't think average house prices across AUS will go UP strongly, nor go DOWN strongly.Auction clearance rates don't necessarily translate into significant surges in PRICES.I think house prices will more-or-less go sideways for an extended period of time and investors will see that they can get significantly higher returns in other (non real-estate) markets. In the last 10 years, what we saw with average house prices were an anomaly not a norm - Read this ABC article on not expecting another boom that we witnessed in the last 10 years - https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-07-19/house-price-falls-are-ending-but-dont-expect-another-boom/11298992 So in short, I am currently neither a property bull nor a property bear - I think the GENERAL property market will go sideways (but always remember there are markets within markets - whether it is with shares or real-estate).I do think, however, that a prudent investor will be able to get much higher returns outside the real-estate market. p.s. I think people got side-tracked with the negative gearing debate - the real elephant in the room is the Westpac class action which will have a significant impact on lending and hence house price gains.
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Only 24 posts so I'll forgive you, but level headed logic like this without major bullish or bearish sentiment has no place on the housing forum!!!! All jokes aside I think you've nailed it, although I still think those markets within markets will also create good "passive" (for lack of a better term) investment opportunities if you get it right. Cheers, Disco.