feeny,
I am in the camp that beleives that market price is very similar to actual value
Sentiment does play a part but probably not to the degree we think particularly when it comes to REITs
Investors particularly super funds etc do a lot of number crunching before they buy them
I would say that equity raising is on the cards if assets were to fall more than 10%
LLC has just devalued some of its property in the UK because I assume they can't sell them by 11.7%
read here
Note: Lend Lease’s 30% interest in the Bluewater shopping centre in the UK is held as Inventory at its original
cost of £250.0 million. Since completion in 1999, Lend Lease’s interest in Bluewater increased in value to
£647.4 million as at 30 June 2007 as included in the Portfolio Report within the Lend Lease Consolidated
Financial Report. The June 2008 valuation has decreased to £570.6 million but this does not impact Lend
Lease’s profit and loss account or balance sheet.
the UK however may have a lot more problems than Germany etc where GPT holds its assets in the JV
Also the Aussi retail, office and industrial which makes up 71% of the GPTs office portfolio may not fall much at all as demand is strong and rents are pretty good.
they may only fall a couple of percent if at all
Anyway the people at GPT don't forsee asset values coming down 10%
I actually thought property values would have to fall just 5% to break the bank covenant
the PR person said that it is not quite that simple and she offered to let me talk to the chief operating officer which I didn't do. Too much of headache trying make sense out what he is saying.
The up shot of all this is that she maintains that assets have to fall 10% to break the covenant and it won't happen.
I will take her word for it.
If they don't have to do a capital raising and property values fall only 10% you are sitting on absolute bargain
an investment worth in vicinty of $3.50
however I don't think things are going to play out like that
Your proably looking at something worth $1.81
but you never know your luck.
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Last
$5.01 |
Change
-0.070(1.38%) |
Mkt cap ! $9.597B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$5.09 | $5.10 | $4.99 | $18.87M | 3.760M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 3333 | $5.00 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$5.03 | 4559 | 2 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 3333 | 5.000 |
1 | 19 | 4.990 |
1 | 4000 | 4.980 |
1 | 201 | 4.970 |
1 | 200 | 4.950 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
5.090 | 3433 | 1 |
5.100 | 2083 | 1 |
5.120 | 3000 | 1 |
5.150 | 21000 | 2 |
5.190 | 378 | 1 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 11/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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