CGC 0.00% $3.19 costa group holdings limited

Ann: Announcement - market update and equity raising, page-66

  1. 529 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 145

    I think your calculations fail to take into account that there is a trading update of 33.1% drop in profit (previous profit guidance of $140m - $153m, downgraded to $98m).
    In my experience, that profit downgrade in itself could drop the share price by around 33% (typically market seems to fall by around the profit downgrade %).
    Throw in a dilutive capital raising which the market hates, and you have a share price much closer to $2.20 capital raising price than your theoretical price of just under $3.
    I don't think the RFG capital raising is comparable to this one, as I don't believe that a large profit downgrade was announced at the same time as their capital raising.
 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add CGC (ASX) to my watchlist

Currently unlisted public company.

arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.