10 dollars would be $4b market cap or so.
Best thing is there won't really be a need for dilution now that they have so much coin!
If they are progressing to a 40,000 barrel plant then its a possibility.
Assume a cost of $30/ barrel plus say $10 overs for overheads etc and sales price of $100 for diesel (I think this would be pretty discounted given that oil is $100, so diesel should be much more).
So $60 margin x 40000 barrels x 330 (assuming a few days down for maintenance).
Should be making a profit of about $792m before tax.
Roughly $550m after tax. Go with a PE of say 8 and you have a market cap of $4.4B.
A lot of upside to those figures, and that is for Chinchilla only and does not take into account any other projects. Wow!
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