Good post Ya!
I'm not an analyst but I've done a DCF and based on the following coal prices:
Price USD
Dom thermal $100.00
PCI $186.72
Semi Soft $200.00
Export Thermal $120.00
they yield a price about 24.5 USD or 29.9 AUD.
Export thermal at $137 raises the price to 34 USD.
There is a lot of value in Felix and hopefully a buyer has a long term view and cash. BHP & Vale have lots of cash and there is a decent chance that they have a 10 year view which makes now a great time to buy.
technical notes, page-2
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