BOT 2.63% 37.0¢ botanix pharmaceuticals ltd

PR & Interviews, page-93

  1. rab
    4,618 Posts.
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    Botanix Pharmaceuticals
    (BOT)
    Anti Microbial Trial
    Recommendation
    Buy (unchanged)
    Price
    $0.07
    Target (12 months)
    $0.25 (unchanged)
    Risk
    Speculative
    Analyst
    John Hester 612 8224 2871
    Tanushree Jain 612 8224 2849
    Authorisation
    David Coates 612 8224 2887
    GICS Sector
    Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology
    Expected Return
    Capital growth 257%
    Dividend yield 0.0%
    Total expected return 257%
    Company Data & Ratios
    Enterprise value $33.1m
    Market cap $68.1m
    Issued capital 972.7m
    Free float 91%
    Avg. daily val. (52wk) $930,000
    12 month price range $0.065 - $0.29
    Price Performance
    BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED
    ACN 25 006 390 7721
    AFSL 243480

    (1m) (3m) (12m)
    Price (A$) 0.09 0.09 0.11
    Absolute (%) -19.5 -22.2 -36.4
    Rel market (%) 9.7 3.4 -17.3
    Speculative
    New Phase 2 Trial For Anti-Bacterial Platform
    Calendar year 2020 will have significant news flow for Botanix with two separate
    Phase II trials reporting in the coming months. The first of these is for BTX1204
    treating atopic dermatitis which is due 1Q CY2020. The second study reporting later
    this year is BTX1702 in Rosacea.
    The company has now announced a third Phase II study. BTX1801 is a new
    formulation from its synthetic cannabinoid platform for use as an antimicrobial. The
    company had previously released data showing that the compound was effective in
    killing 132 different gram positive bacteria including staphylococcus aureus (s. aureus)
    and methicillin resistant staphylococcus aureus MRSA (aka golden staph). The
    formulation of BTX1801 is a tightly held trade secret with patents pending.
    The use of the synthetic cannabinoids in clinical trials is in no way effected by any of
    the FDA’s announcements regarding use of CBD products as a food or dietary
    supplement. BOT is seeking to have its products registered as drugs and is following
    the traditional clinical pathway towards registration.
    The indiscriminant use of antibacterial medications including mupirocin over decades
    has resulted in the emergence and growing prevalence of anti-bacterial strains of
    s.aureus and MRSA. BOT has now released new data to demonstrate the potent
    antibacterial activity of BTX1801 against mupirocin resistant strains of s.aureus and
    MRSA. As a result BOT will now invest in a phase 2 study to investigate the potential
    of this drug to nasal colonisation of these bacteria. We expect this trial will be a
    stepping stone to a pivotal study in the US.
    Maintain Buy Rating
    Short term catalyst this month is the headline data from the Atopic Dermatitis trial. The
    valuation is maintain at $0.25 and we retain our Buy (Speculative) rating.
    Absolute Price Earnings Forecast
    June Year End FY19 FY20e FY21e FY22e
    Revenues 4.8 7.6 20.2 51.1
    EBITDA $m -17.0 -18.4 -7.7 33.1
    NPAT (underlying) $m -17.0 -18.4 -7.7 33.1
    NPAT (reported) $m -17.0 -18.4 -7.7 33.1
    EPS underlying (cps) -2.2 -1.8 -0.8 3.3
    EPS growth % 1% nm nm nm
    PER (x) nm nm nm 2.1
    FCF yield (%) nm nm -13% 45%
    EV/EBITDA (x) (2.0) (1.8) (4.3) 1.0
    Dividend (cps) - - - -
    Franking 0% 0% 0% 0%
    Yield % 0% 0% 0% 0%
    ROE % -2549% -83% -53%
 
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