I'm sometimes classed as an epidemiologist although I'd say data analyst/modeller is more accurate.
I any case I'm following the unfolding of this pandemic with a good deal of background knowledge.
I'm very disturbed at the volume of uninformed and inaccurate commentary here by amateurs.
Both upside and downside. This is a serious issue and random speculation risks promoting either indifference or panic.
PLEASE refer to the data/advice provided by those that DO have a clue.
Here's a good source for those that are willing to make an effort:
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf
Wow--concerning., page-67
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