Here we go
2020 2021 2,022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Revenue 6200 6200 6200 6200 6200 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 revenue discounted @ 15% pa sum 382.5 325 4084 3471 2951 2508 2132 15853
It is a matter of judgement what the GP % would be. However it may be necessary to give Bene a royalty, but we could be looking at 40% after that and allowing for continuing R&D.
The other issue is at what point does the market look at revenue in the same way as the other Ozy growth stocks (APT etc) after the COVID chaos.
I am thinking the market will assess PAR on a similar basis to APT because they can see the market size.
At the very least there is an outlook potential of 700m revenue over two years from TGA starting end 2Q 2021.
40% GP of that gives what EPS? If only that GP was given 20x markup for potential, we get 280*20=$5.6B which i think comes to
>$20 share. IMO only DYOR.
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