AFG 2.89% $1.43 australian finance group ltd

likelihood of getting next coupon payment, page-19

  1. 806 Posts.
    I think the NTA was about 20m at the last FY report. AFGHA at 10c in the dollar would suggest that the NTA is expected to be around -250m now (assuming that the AFGHA price is based at what would be returned in a "perfect" liquidation). So the price of AFGHA suggests NTA of around -250m and attributes no value to the goodwill.

    The market cap of AFG suggests that the goodwill and management rights are worth about 300m as the market cap should be:

    Market Cap = NTA +/- Premium for goodwill.

    As the market cap would appear to be about 50m and the NTA about -250m (as explained above) the premium for goodwill would therefore be worth about 300m.
 
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