Imo market has priced in the initial fall in earnings but is pinning its hopes on a V shaped recovery, which imo this is very unlikely.
Remember, that when events like this occur it generally changes the world we live in and things do not return to what was considered the norm.
Eg:
- Supply chains are going to dramatically change with less and less reliance on China.
- Consider the amount of companies which have issued more shares to raise capital and what this will mean moving forward for their EPS and dividend yields.
Will the dam wall finally show its cracks this week when some of the largest players on the S&P 500 provide reports? The last time I checked that when companies and individuals have less money to spend the cut spending on what would be considered non essential services.
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