yeah maybe, something so obvious probably has a death trap underneath it. It's very rare in the market when you see 1+1 and you go, hey that's 2, riches are not that obvious, it's probably already factored in the sharemarket anyway at some level.
But anyway if you go long or short, it's still 50/50, add in brokerage and the odds are against you unless you are one of the few 5% of traders and not the other 95%.
