Some thoughts/questions about AT1:
Can anyone clarify why AT1 developed a new pregnancy test? Current pee-based tests are >99% accurate, cheap (couple of dollars) and readily accessible. To me, it sort of seems they tried to reinvent the wheel. Surely the market for a new pregnancy test is limited as is the need for higher accuracy. Their time/money could have been better spent developing tests for conditions that have no testing, inaccurate testing, expensive testing, etc. Are they struggling to identify new applications for their self-testing IP?
Also, whilst the Covid19 test currently has a high demand, if/when a vaccine is developed (maybe later this year), the demand for these tests will plummet and so will their revenue.
As for their HIV test, I get that it has a place and will benefit a lot of people. But the Mylan badged test sells for as little as 5USD in various places around the world. Assuming AT1 gets $1 of that as a royalty, it needs to sell tens of millions to justify their current market cap of $160m. In the last 5yrs they have sold ~1m HIV tests and their cumulative lifetime revenue is barely in the millions - this indicates they generate minimal revenue from each test. Additionally, in western countries, people already get HIV tested as a part of STI checks - why pay more for an on-the-spot test when you still have to wait for the results for everything else? Where is the high-margin market coming from?
In my mind, for AT1 to be a winner, it needs to develop a number of new tests for various conditions - the covid boom is short lived, the pregnancy test has a small market and I'm not convinced about the upside from the HIV test.
Keen to hear your thoughts. Just offering a different point of view.
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2.0¢ |
Change
-0.001(4.76%) |
Mkt cap ! $15.41M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
2.1¢ | 2.1¢ | 2.0¢ | $34.78K | 1.707M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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1 | 33312 | 2.0¢ |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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2.1¢ | 164341 | 3 |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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1 | 33312 | 0.020 |
2 | 392500 | 0.019 |
9 | 1253723 | 0.018 |
4 | 561666 | 0.017 |
6 | 972560 | 0.016 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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0.021 | 164341 | 3 |
0.022 | 473894 | 2 |
0.023 | 400786 | 2 |
0.024 | 635767 | 3 |
0.025 | 772271 | 5 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 18/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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