interesting to note the death count hasnt jumped with cases (some good news at least).
seems to be this virus really ramps up in mortality when hospitals are overloaded. Ie: its treatable & beatable. Just need to keep the case numbers down (which america isnt doing)
Also means developing & lower socio-economic areas will be hardest hit due to lack of adequate hospital care
future outcomes
-the drastic shutdowns weve been through wont happen again unless the virus gets out of hand (California & florida examples)
-New york still generating 1k cases per day (seen as a win). this will be the new norm as we learn to live with the virus
-prevention will be essential going forward: masks, sanitising and social distancing
-treatments will improve. hospital capacity increase. personally, i dont think we’ll get a cure anytime soon
-much longer hit to economies and job recovery. new jobs and industries will appear, but the economic void will extend longer than expected
-theres no way governments can support unemployment and economies long term. V-shape is a myth. there is no exit strategy got government support
-once things stabilise support will be wound back. Bear market will ensue
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