Its a bit more than year 7 maths !
It is statistics,
which is a bit more advanced than year 7 maths.
And you are totally totally wrong.
in this case
each well is mutually exclusive
The odds for the next well are not altered in any way by what happened last time.
That is past, gone, the result is history, and cannot influence the future.
6 months from now, page-15
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