I plan to hold for the moment and maybe add. A few reasons:
On mid point of guidance say PBT $6.5m and lets assume a 20% tax rate even though it moves around, so NPAT around $5.2m. Forecast net cash $10m at the end of FY21 so a cash adjusted PE of 8-9x at the current prices
Their forecasting in recent years has been dismal, but under new management they appear to be taking a more conservative approach. Also this year the result should be more H1 weighted so rather than setting themselves up for a downgrade there is the chance of a positive surprise later in FY21
Potential for capital management given the surplus cash
There are negatives such as high customer concentration and lumpy revenues in the systems business but at least they have long term relationships and a proven technology. Also a worsening covid situation could further delay some installations. There was a view a few years ago that this was a multi year growth story due to a shortage of air traffic controllers, growing recurring revenue etc but in reality I think it just got over hyped and it's a long way (if ever) from achieving that sort of market rating again
But if this was a new IPO you could claim 75% recurring revenue, tech, long term blue chip customer base and flog it on a revenue multiple to unsuspecting punters!
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