ALD 0.00% $32.66 ampol limited

soon to be 50 cents, page-70

  1. 1,035 Posts.
    frenzal1,

    "What about other opinions on this stock"?

    FWIW, my opinion is based on the arithmetic:

    2009 estimations:-

    Ore Milled ~ 2mt
    Ore grade ~ 1.72g/t
    Recovery ~ 92%
    Hence, gold production ~ 101.7koz
    At an average of $850/oz over 2009 (+/-)?
    Sales at hedge ~ $17.2m
    Sales at spot ~ $65.5m
    Hence, total sales ~ $82.8m
    At cash costs of $448/oz, total costs ~ $45.5m
    G&A ~ $5m
    EBITDA ~ $32m
    Interest paid ~ $0.14m
    Tax ~ $6.6m
    Net earnings ~ $25.4m
    Net EPS ~ US$0.06
    At PER of x10 SP ~ US$0.6/share (c. AU$0.91)

    CAPEX+EXPEX ~ $10m
    Debt repayment ~ $3.4m
    Net cash ~ US$14m

    Only my opinion and subject to realised ALD production/costs and gold average over 2009
    CPDLC
 
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