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szaba_the_hut

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31/08/20

13:25

Post #: 46952251
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Originally posted by mjp2: ↑

This graph has the science predictions for arctic sea ice extent, for the various CO2 emission scenarios, and with observations in black up to 2012.

I've marked up to indicate the swing of observations from 2012 up to and including 2019. We are pretty much on the highest emissions scenario mid point and have swung from the low of the range of variability and uncertainty, in 2012, back to just above the midpoint of projections, and then in 2019 to just below the midpoint.

Nothing to see here, except sea ice loss doing as the science predicts.

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So you would say 2012 was more unknown natural forces than climate change creating that particular low record? We are returning to forecast trend now that the unknown thing has stopped or reduced.
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