Updated numbers

  1. 20,966 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 2194
    after speaking to the company recently and getting a much better handle on the numbers here is my updated numbers for end of Sept . The cash balance is going to blow people away - happy for anyone to critic these number

    we start with end of June figure of net debt of 2.3 with 6.9 m
    cash falling early July so net cash at the start of July 4 m odd . Say 3 m to be safe .
    this quarter there will be sales of 110k
    40k from inventories - pure cash profit . Loadisng /logistic Costs per tonne 20 dollar . assume sale price of 600 to reflect Stronger dollar - 24 m aud
    the quarter also had 70k of regular sales . At a 300 margin that’s 21m
    with 70k sales and production running around 83, that’s an Additional 13k to inventory

    so we have 3m plus 24 plus 21 m = 47 m
    minus 1m for interest
    minus 2 m for exploration
    minus 2m for anything I have missed
    minus 5 m for august land purchase

    so net cash likely to be 37m much higher than my estimate of 25-30m
    importantly though inventory will still be high at 83k despite extra sales do 50-52 m value there and land assets over 20m
    Dec quarter cash should be closer to 60-65 m

    what I looked at starting at the end of Sept - what will the next 12 months bring
    production of 320 k ( left a little room here )
    margins 290 ( left a little realm here as well as costs likely to fall so being conservative )
    inventory sales - circa 20k before they reach 50k so another 12 m
    104 m in cash flow for next 12 months October 20-sept 21

    note in my figures I have dropped Margin to 300 this quarter and 290 next year. In reality margin and production may be higher as AISC for last 6 months includes unrest in debt which will be gone within 6-9 months if not earlier . Also projected costs are likely to fall
    lastly the ASIC per tonnne sold is going to fall massively and show they are beating all cost targets. Will fall from marginally above guidance to well below due to 110k on sales this quarter



 
Add to My Watchlist
What is My Watchlist?
A personalised tool to help users track selected stocks. Delivering real-time notifications on price updates, announcements, and performance stats on each to help make informed investment decisions.
(20min delay)
Last
7.2¢
Change
-0.002(2.70%)
Mkt cap ! $80.31M
Open High Low Value Volume
7.6¢ 7.6¢ 7.1¢ $54.03K 727.9K

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
1 63931 7.2¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
7.6¢ 96799 1
View Market Depth
Last trade - 15.30pm 12/09/2025 (20 minute delay) ?
IMA (ASX) Chart
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.