The challenge for TWE is that their growth is massively leveraged to China, and they have little organic / alternative growth coming from elsewhere. So 3% dividend yields in perpetuity with limited growth isn't something people are willing to pay for. A back of the envelope estimate of intrinsic value that I did had TWE at $7 ex China for 3-5 years, despite the amazing brand of Penfolds and the $2bn of assets it puts on their balance sheet. Unfortunately, I think the non-verbal "announcements" will play heavily on TWE for some time, as they have been caught in the geo political crosshairs.
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TWE
treasury wine estates limited
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$7.61

What if China ban Australia Wine?, page-144
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Last
$7.61 |
Change
-0.070(0.91%) |
Mkt cap ! $6.191B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$7.66 | $7.68 | $7.59 | $5.069M | 664.5K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
23 | 5698 | $7.60 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$7.61 | 13715 | 16 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
38 | 26864 | 7.590 |
18 | 72950 | 7.580 |
14 | 33674 | 7.570 |
16 | 47007 | 7.560 |
15 | 83443 | 7.550 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
7.600 | 6106 | 14 |
7.610 | 21667 | 17 |
7.620 | 22399 | 14 |
7.630 | 29028 | 14 |
7.640 | 36463 | 12 |
Last trade - 11.16am 07/08/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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TWE (ASX) Chart |