DJ MARKET TALK/AU:Oil May Hit $40/bbl If A US-Iraq War-4Cast
[Contact Us: Sydney 61-2-8235-2950; [email protected]] 0218 GMT [Dow Jones] A crude oil spike to $40/bbl (September Nymex last at $28.16) is realistic if U.S. did end up at war vs Iraq, says 4CastWeb; upward pressure would come if Iraq disabled Saudi, Kuwait shipping ability, "but the biggest single risk of a prolonged oil spike centers simply on a failure of the U.S. mission." If reached $40, U.S. would take hardest economic hit, risk-aversion would hurt USD, stocks globally could sink; in such scenario, buy gold. (RXM)
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