"Your analysis is flawed."
1. Deaths @ end of Week 44: 77,541
2. 2020 Total Deaths Expected (according to @fdKen): 95,000
=> Deaths to occur in final 8 weeks = 95,000 -77,541 = 17,459
3. Historical Average Deaths in Final 8 Weeks of the Year = 13,926
=> Required Ratio of Deaths in Final 8 Weeks of 2020 compared to History = 17,459 / 13,926 = 1.25.
Please show were my analysis is flawed.
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