NOU 2.08% 11.8¢ noumi limited

Ann: Investor Presentation - FY20, page-58

  1. 6 Posts.
    Hi All,
    Wanted to provide some general information for those who have a mild/moderate understanding of dairy and the market FF is in & want more information on what to look for when investing
    Firstly (46m) 2020 EBITDA - means the business needs to make save/make between 10-15c on every milk litre sold or make growth in LF sales in order to break even.
    - UHT margin grown- probably unlikely. The protein standard of most FF products is well below others within the market.
    - LF sells for ~$1500/kg, is this price stable? Prob not, competition is continuing to ramp up with Beston's, Koroit etc
    - Operation efficiencies/expenditure - id say yes, definitely less external storage costs?
    - Cost of borrowings, financial risk = more costly financing
    - Cost of Milk - most likely will increase? Shepparton is based in the north of Victoria with far less rain, with lots of competition for milk, dont see the milk price going down.
    - Management: the captain may be gone, but it takes more than 1 person to sink a shi? Directors don't visit sites? little concerning

    if the business has no chance of returning a profit then 1c is pretty fair - didn't Tiger sell to Virgin for $1 total value
 
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