https://**.st/stocks/au/commercial-services/asx-psz/future-first-technologies-shares/news/were-not-so-sure-you-should-rely-on-future-first-technologieWe're Not So Sure You Should Rely on Future First Technologies's (ASX : PSZ) Statutory Earnings
As a general rule, we think profitable companies are less risky than companies that lose money. However, sometimes companies receive a one-off boost (or reduction) to their profit, and it's not always clear whether statutory profits are a good guide, going forward. Today we'll focus on whether this year's statutory profits are a good guide to understanding Future First Technologies (ASX : PSZ). While Future First Technologies was able to generate revenue of AU$51.1m in the last twelve months, we think its profit result of AU$3.80m was more important. The chart below shows that while revenue has fallen over the last three years, the company has moved from unprofitable to profitable.
Of course, when it comes to statutory profit, the devil is often in the detail, and we can get a better sense for a company by diving deeper into the financial statements. In this article we'll look at how Future First Technologies is impacting shareholders by issuing new shares, as well as how unusual items have affected the income line. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Future First Technologies. In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. Future First Technologies expanded the number of shares on issue by 33% over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out Future First Technologies' historical EPS growth by clicking on this link. How Is Dilution Impacting Future First Technologies' Earnings Per Share? (EPS) Future First Technologies was losing money three years ago. And even focusing only on the last twelve months, we don't have a meaningful growth rate because it made a loss a year ago, too. But mathematics aside, it is always good to see when a formerly unprofitable business come good (though we accept profit would have been higher if dilution had not been required). So you can see that the dilution has had a fairly significant impact on shareholders. If Future First Technologies' EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit. The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit Alongside that dilution, it's also important to note that Future First Technologies' profit was boosted by unusual items worth AU$2.5m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Future First Technologies' positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to June 2020. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power. Our Take On Future First Technologies' Profit Performance To sum it all up, Future First Technologies got a nice boost to profit from unusual items; without that, its statutory results would have looked worse. And furthermore, it went and issued plenty of new shares, ensuring that each shareholder (who did not tip more money in) now owns a smaller proportion of the company. Considering all this we'd argue Future First Technologies' profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Future First Technologies at this point in time. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Future First Technologies you should know about. Our examination of Future First Technologies has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
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