Why I exited Gold, page-15

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    FUN WITH CHARTS...

    If you follow gold, you're probably familiar with the following long term chart...

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/2970/2970340-5fc0ec5fff6dcfb83549528cec54b258.jpg

    The later part of the chart shows a technical uptrend going back 20 years culminating in a rather tidy Cup & Handle pattern...
    which would normally have a good probability of continuing up, after re-testing the historical resistance level of the 'left rim'.


    However, re-doing the chart for REAL inflation
    (see linked article)
    https://www.bullionstar.com/blogs/ronan-manly/the-staggering-levels-of-real-inflation-adjusted-gold-and-silver-prices/

    gives a rather different look...

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/2970/2970356-98d82a2fdf3dd395ffe2c4933fb0d505.jpg

    This is what is referred to in Technical Analysis as a
    big-ass downtrend.

    From that perspective, I find the Cup & Handle play rather less compelling...

 
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