Hi jogo,
I often struggle to understand gold companies. For 2021, they have published their AISC to be from $1230 to $1300 per ounce and the production to be between 355k-380k ounces (see BMO presentation for details). Price of gold is ~$2200 (using AUD). If capex was 0, would you not say that the profit would be ~900 per ounce times say 355k ounces = $319.5M for 2021? This gross profit value seems to be close to the published value for 2020. How did you get the $400M capex? It looks like this is ~$200M per year based on the latest annual report.
I also think 5% discount rate is a bit high but a small change to that would not affect your valuation by a lot.
All in all, I see a good net income of ~$150M - $200M per year compared to a market cap of ~$1.5B, and a tidy balance sheet.
Any insights on your valuation would be greatly appreciated.
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Last
$4.21 |
Change
-0.150(3.44%) |
Mkt cap ! $3.181B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$4.30 | $4.35 | $4.18 | $8.846M | 2.088M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 3008 | $4.20 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$4.23 | 5404 | 2 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 1250 | 4.200 |
2 | 1476 | 4.180 |
1 | 5000 | 4.170 |
1 | 4819 | 4.160 |
1 | 1500 | 4.130 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
4.250 | 16300 | 2 |
4.320 | 34980 | 2 |
4.350 | 5000 | 1 |
4.360 | 8000 | 2 |
4.370 | 10000 | 1 |
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