Interesting observation and well thought out Mason
I would love the SP to play out that way
Its good to know other companies have had their SPs play out that way...
I would be retired.
ALL IMO
At the risk of sounding like a downer...
This is but one of an infinite number of ways the SP could play out.
Tooks, you referred to the post as "meaningful comments"
The reality (no offense Mason because your research is great) is this is simply an observation in patterns and then extrapolating those patterns to see what might be for the SP.
LT a great observation in compounding that everyone should know and learn, especially borrowers for home loans etc!
We have all heard the industry super fund adverts saying "Past performance is not an indicator of future performance"
Then there is the saying "Lies, Damn Lies and Statistics"
I suggest that using this pattern to extrapolate the SP is dependent on positive news and only positive news.
Any bland or perceived negative news may scotch the whole pattern.
The timing of announcements also needs to be spot on to support the pattern.
There is a lot of risk in Biotech investing (medical and execution etc)
IMO it would only take one poor message to change the pattern.
The timing of announcements also needs to be spot on to support the pattern.
Ultimately, these posts unintentionally set expectations in people minds.
The problem this can create is that a sale below $100ps may be seen as a failure.
When in fact it would still be a huge success from where we are today and perhaps still a record buyout
It will be interesting to revisit this in 12 months to see how it played out and what curve balls (if any) came our way.
GLTAH & DYOR
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