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central banks flood credit markets with cash, page-12

  1. BH!
    2,521 Posts.
    And, here come the "mainstream" economists to telegraph Bernanke's next move - inflation:-
    May 19 (Bloomberg) -- What the U.S. economy may need is a dose of good old-fashioned inflation.
    So say economists including Gregory Mankiw, former White House adviser, and Kenneth Rogoff, who was chief economist at the International Monetary Fund. They argue that a looser rein on inflation would make it easier for debt-strapped consumers and governments to meet their obligations. It might also help the economy by encouraging Americans to spend now rather than later when prices go up.
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    “I’m advocating 6 percent inflation for at least a couple of years,” says Rogoff, 56, who’s now a professor at Harvard University. “It would ameliorate the debt bomb and help us work through the deleveraging process.”
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    Lifting Prices, Wages
    Even after all the Fed has done to stimulate the economy, some economists argue that it needs to do more and deliberately aim for much faster inflation that would also lift wages.
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    Given the Fed’s inability to cut rates further, Mankiw says the central bank should pledge to produce “significant” inflation. That would put the real, inflation-adjusted interest rate -- the cost of borrowing minus the rate of inflation -- deep into negative territory, even though the nominal rate would still be zero.
    If Americans were convinced of the Fed’s commitment, they’d buy and borrow more now, he says.
    Mankiw, currently a Harvard professor, declines to put a number on what inflation rate the Fed should shoot for, saying that the central bank has computer models that would be useful for determining that.
    Gold Standard
    In advocating that the Fed commit itself to generating some inflation, Mankiw, 51, likens such a step to the U.S. decision to abandon the gold standard in 1933, which freed policy makers to fight the Depression.
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    Easier Debt Repayment
    Inflationary increases in wages -- and the higher income taxes they generate -- would make it easier to pay off debt at all levels.
    “There’s trillions of dollars of debt, in mortgage debt, consumer debt, government debt,” says Rogoff, who was chief economist at the Washington-based IMF from 2001 to 2003. “It’s a question of how do you achieve the deleveraging. Do you go through a long period of slow growth, high savings and many legal problems or do you accept higher inflation?”
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    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...RV8&refer=home
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